Pre-tourney Rankings
Cal Poly
Big West
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.8#204
Expected Predictive Rating-5.0#241
Pace67.0#252
Improvement-6.3#343

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#143
First Shot-0.4#189
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#55
Layup/Dunks-2.0#269
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#89
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#155
Freethrows-0.4#204
Improvement-4.1#327

Defense
Total Defense-4.1#283
First Shot-4.4#303
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#153
Layups/Dunks+1.3#124
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#319
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#269
Freethrows-1.2#246
Improvement-2.2#286
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 115   @ UNLV L 72-74 19%     0 - 1 +4.3 +0.7 +3.7
  Nov 15, 2015 63   @ UCLA L 83-88 10%     0 - 2 +6.4 +7.1 -0.3
  Nov 21, 2015 228   Austin Peay W 73-64 54%     1 - 2 +5.1 -4.6 +9.6
  Nov 22, 2015 328   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 78-65 81%     2 - 2 +0.7 +1.1 +0.5
  Dec 03, 2015 132   Purdue Fort Wayne L 73-75 42%     2 - 3 -2.6 -1.1 -1.6
  Dec 05, 2015 102   Fresno St. W 77-65 32%     3 - 3 +14.2 +11.3 +3.7
  Dec 14, 2015 39   @ St. Mary's L 63-93 7%     3 - 4 -16.1 +1.0 -20.7
  Dec 17, 2015 41   @ USC L 82-101 7%     3 - 5 -5.2 +3.9 -6.5
  Dec 20, 2015 177   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 74-80 32%     3 - 6 -3.9 -1.4 -2.1
  Dec 22, 2015 339   @ Texas San Antonio W 88-73 78%     4 - 6 +4.1 +0.0 +2.8
  Dec 29, 2015 16   @ Texas A&M L 63-82 3%     4 - 7 -0.3 +2.9 -4.0
  Jan 06, 2016 68   @ Hawaii L 73-86 10%     4 - 8 0 - 1 -1.9 +5.6 -7.3
  Jan 14, 2016 104   UC Santa Barbara L 73-76 32%     4 - 9 0 - 2 -1.0 -0.3 -0.5
  Jan 16, 2016 108   Long Beach St. W 96-92 2OT 34%     5 - 9 1 - 2 +5.4 +5.3 -0.7
  Jan 21, 2016 238   @ Cal St. Northridge L 74-76 46%     5 - 10 1 - 3 -3.7 -1.7 -1.9
  Jan 23, 2016 268   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 83-75 53%     6 - 10 2 - 3 +4.4 +8.7 -4.2
  Jan 28, 2016 234   UC Riverside L 68-72 67%     6 - 11 2 - 4 -11.3 -2.7 -8.8
  Jan 30, 2016 235   @ UC Davis L 52-66 45%     6 - 12 2 - 5 -15.6 -6.5 -11.6
  Feb 03, 2016 98   UC Irvine L 72-78 OT 30%     6 - 13 2 - 6 -3.3 -5.5 +2.9
  Feb 06, 2016 68   Hawaii L 60-75 22%     6 - 14 2 - 7 -9.8 -5.4 -5.2
  Feb 11, 2016 108   @ Long Beach St. L 70-73 17%     6 - 15 2 - 8 +4.2 -1.6 +5.9
  Feb 13, 2016 234   @ UC Riverside W 86-78 45%     7 - 15 3 - 8 +6.6 +11.7 -5.3
  Feb 18, 2016 235   UC Davis W 58-53 67%     8 - 15 4 - 8 -2.4 -4.7 +3.0
  Feb 20, 2016 238   Cal St. Northridge L 71-75 OT 68%     8 - 16 4 - 9 -11.5 -7.8 -3.5
  Feb 25, 2016 268   Cal St. Fullerton L 77-78 74%     8 - 17 4 - 10 -10.4 +5.4 -15.9
  Mar 03, 2016 98   @ UC Irvine L 62-72 15%     8 - 18 4 - 11 -1.5 -0.6 -1.6
  Mar 05, 2016 104   @ UC Santa Barbara L 50-69 16%     8 - 19 4 - 12 -11.1 -13.5 +0.8
  Mar 10, 2016 98   UC Irvine L 64-84 21%     8 - 20 -14.4 +1.7 -18.0
Projected Record 8.0 - 20.0 4.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12 100.0% 100.0
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%